Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.093718e-03 1.236829e-03 0.001381 0.001537 0.001701 0.001867 0.002047
2025-05-18 7.943459e-04 9.955735e-04 0.001207 0.001444 0.001699 0.001965 0.002260
2025-05-25 5.924729e-04 8.329080e-04 0.001097 0.001402 0.001740 0.002099 0.002506
2025-06-01 4.279735e-04 6.909085e-04 0.000994 0.001357 0.001768 0.002214 0.002727
2025-06-08 3.141859e-04 5.919864e-04 0.000929 0.001345 0.001828 0.002359 0.002977
2025-06-15 2.516433e-04 5.470881e-04 0.000922 0.001395 0.001955 0.002577 0.003307
2025-06-22 1.766652e-04 4.721876e-04 0.000869 0.001387 0.002010 0.002711 0.003540
2025-06-29 1.226793e-04 4.155639e-04 0.000834 0.001394 0.002079 0.002859 0.003788
2025-07-06 9.331153e-05 3.907120e-04 0.000837 0.001446 0.002200 0.003064 0.004099
2025-07-13 5.231378e-05 3.314692e-04 0.000786 0.001427 0.002233 0.003165 0.004289
2025-07-20 2.085355e-05 2.712068e-04 0.000727 0.001392 0.002243 0.003237 0.004444
2025-07-27 1.034334e-05 2.533569e-04 0.000728 0.001435 0.002347 0.003418 0.004723
2025-08-03 1.151935e-07 2.076072e-04 0.000688 0.001431 0.002404 0.003558 0.004973
2025-08-10 NaN 1.360553e-04 0.000593 0.001345 0.002358 0.003576 0.005083
2025-08-17 NaN 9.251705e-05 0.000535 0.001308 0.002372 0.003664 0.005274
2025-08-24 NaN 5.592423e-05 0.000478 0.001266 0.002376 0.003740 0.005451
2025-08-31 NaN 3.437117e-05 0.000444 0.001256 0.002421 0.003865 0.005684
2025-09-07 NaN 2.795458e-05 0.000448 0.001306 0.002545 0.004086 0.006032
2025-09-14 NaN 1.401062e-05 0.000418 0.001299 0.002591 0.004210 0.006263
2025-09-21 NaN 6.002409e-06 0.000399 0.001306 0.002655 0.004356 0.006520
2025-09-28 NaN 3.865663e-06 0.000406 0.001357 0.002779 0.004576 0.006864
2025-10-05 NaN 1.796446e-09 0.000373 0.001339 0.002806 0.004674 0.007063
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000334 0.001305 0.002810 0.004742 0.007223